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Predicting Major Prison Incidents

This report reviews the nature and causes of major prison incidents, and also investigates the extent to which their occurrence can be predicted by monitoring indicators of the prison environment, especially minor incidents and disciplinary reports.

Major prison incidents, such as fires, riots, mass escapes and hostage-taking, are important features of custodial systems. They can cause enormous material damage and extensive human suffering in a short space of time.

Planning for their prevention and control is a significant pre-occupation amongst corrections administrators, and the management of a major incident may be the most rigorous test prison managers are likely to face.

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Author: Victorian Office of Corrections - Policy and Planning Unit
Publisher: Victorian Office of Corrections - Policy and Planning Unit
Date of Publication: 1990
Copyright: State of Victoria, 1990.


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